UPD: 06/05/2014 Putin's plan for May 9
Everyone understands that Russia is terribly tired of Ukraine. Everyone understands that Russia terribly wants to finally bring troops from Slavyansk to Ukraine to Chop and to get rid of this headache once and for all.
But Ukraine is still too good to play the role of an innocent victim in the eyes of the West, so that it can be turned around without a breakdown on the status of the world aggressor and a complete blockade, which, of course, I do not want, despite all the bravado. "Yes, we need your sanctions - ugh and pounding. "
Of course, first of all, the guarantee of Ukraine's success in the field of theatrical exhibiting itself as an innocent victim is in the impotence of our authorities, which are unable to disperse the meeting or neutralize the terrorist.
Therefore, the idea of exposing Ukrainians to evil demons, who cunningly destroy their own population, is not quite enough.
Slavyansk, like the nest of lovely peaceful angels, who just want self-determination and autonomy, turned out to be a total failure. Because Ponomarev - it's clear what kind of angel. And then he also took foreign observers hostage. And then he also got a MANPADS from somewhere, which is an ultra-frequent commodity and their use instantly for every military man is a sign of the conflict coming to a qualitatively new level.
In general, with the Slavs did not.
Therefore, they came from Odessa, bribing the local cops. The plan was to create another hotbed of resistance in the barricaded building, and if it does not work out, then at least take advantage of the PR for the people killed during the assault. Plan B, as you can see, worked, but it's bad, because stupid Odessa cops helped the separatists too much and distributed weapons right under the cameras.
The investigation terribly complicates the fact that the Odessa police is the direct organizer of both the attacks of pro-Russian activists on the ultras, and, apparently, their killing in the House of Trade Unions. Therefore, we obviously will not see the reports of forensic medical experts.
But even here, despite all the efforts of the staff Kremlin propagandists, it turns out not very. Kindle hatred, it is necessary to silently silence too many obvious and fixed things on video:
- "So these guys were the first to attack, what are they now victims?"
- - So these innocent victims shot before their tragic death another's procession, which went not to them, but to football?
- - So these honest independent people are all cooperating with Odessa cops?
And so on. That is, the victims are obtained, but they do not turn out to be innocent: this is the side of the confrontation.
But innocent victims are terribly necessary. Because, no matter how much the Kremlin's agitators shout, "Get up, the country is huge!", But the country is not huge. He turns around, asks questions, is already ready, but still sits and grumbles, but does not run into the attack. The West also does not want to believe that "Russia has its own truth." Ukraine's aggression against Russia is not enough. There is only one stroke missing - the very one that the US had enough to start the war in Afghanistan in 2001.
And we, unfortunately, know how to provide it.
There is not enough personal insult. So far, everything that happens for Russians is not their problem. From the point of view of a resident of some Uryupinsk, they are invited to penetrate the problems of an incredibly distant and alien Ukraine and start helping the inhabitants of this foreign Ukraine in their struggle against some Right Sector, about which no one in Uryupinsk heard anything three months ago, and now , we will tell directly, too not so knows and is interested.
The Kremlin needs a personal insult to Ukraine and Ukrainians of every Russian.
The Kremlin needs that "Dad, kill Bandera" did not cause questions and did not require long explanations.
The Kremlin needs a war with the Right Sector to become a self-defense issue for every Russian.
Why all this leads us?
To the fact that on May 9, the inhabitants of the Russian Federation are likely to face a whole series of bloody surprises: namely, terrorist acts in Moscow or other large cities with Yarosh's business cards scattered widely around the scene.
We know that terrorist attacks against our own people are a long-standing recipe for mobilizing the population.
After the Right Sector proves its international danger and bestial hatred for Russia by organizing terrorist attacks on the territory of Russia itself, no one can doubt that it is necessary to introduce troops into Ukraine immediately. Not to protect some mythical Russian-speaking population of Ukraine, the protection of which generates more questions than answers (and who defends the Russian-speaking population of Kazakhstan and Latvia?), But already to protect their own population, with full and unconditional support and a wave of rage noble, boiling like a wave.
In passing, Putin will receive his beloved "symmetrical argument": if the US had the right to enter the troops in Afghanistan after the World Trade Center explosion, then why do not we have the right to deploy troops to Ukraine after the most terrible terrorist attack in central Russia on the holy day of May 9? And inside the US, Russia's agents of influence will turn to their senators and quizzically ask: do you support terrorism?
As you can see, there are a lot of benefits and bonuses from a good explosion in the center of Russia.
We recommend that Russian people in Russia, just in case, leave big cities on May holidays, and especially on May 9. Also, we recommend not to use the May 8-10 underground, not to be in multi-story apartment buildings, in squares and not participate in large-scale marches. If you do not want to become an innocent victim, of course.
Because if in the first act Putin hung out the Right Sector on the Maidan, then in the final act Yarosh will shoot. Perhaps in Red Square.
We write this probabilistic forecast, because we hope to maximize this plan. We hope that the scoring of the enemy's plans will lead to the fact that he will be forced to abandon their implementation. The scenario described is a catastrophe serving only one purpose: to strengthen Putin's position at the cost of the lives of Russian people. Therefore, we hope that we will be able to somehow influence it, having voiced it in advance. We ask for the maximum repost.