calculation of probability
Without going into the intricacies of probability calculations P and P (1), which we saw on the previous page , we present here the final results in the tables of these values.
As it turned out, for a long scopic suit with the seven P-value is almost independent of the alignment of the rest of the hand plays stripes. Let's look at the probabilities of catching a particular disposition of which are summarized in the table.
alignment | R |
79VT | 0.1 |
79DKT | 0.2 |
79DK | 0.35 |
79KT | 0.58 |
710DKT | 0.75 |
710DT or 710VT | 0.77 |
From the table we can see that on the fourth line, the probability of getting at least one bribe at a given scenario suit exceeds 50%.
In the case of short scopic suit, P is heavily dependent on the alignment of the remaining suits playing. Let's see the following table.
scopic suit | 710K | 710D (710B) | 79K | 79D |
alignment | R | R | R | R |
6-1-0 | 0.8 | 0.52 | 0.62 | 0.25 |
5-2-0 (5-1-1) | 0.81 | 0.61 | 0.68 | 0.4 |
4-3-0 | 0.87 | 0.65 | 0.68 | 0.42 |
4-2-1 | 0.83 | 0.59 | 0.65 | 0.33 |
3-3-1 | 0.89 | 0.74 | 0.74 | 0.46 |
3-2-2 | 0.84 | 0.64 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
The shorter scopic suits with the probability of the seven fishing also depends on whether the demolition of this suit. Let's see the table, below.
scopic suit | 7B | 710 | ||||
alignment | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
6-2-0 | 0.55 | 0.63 | 0.73 | 0.14 | 0.25 | 0.31 |
5-3-0 | 0.66 | 0.79 | 0.89 | 0.34 | 0.5 | 0.67 |
5-2-1 | 0.59 | 0.69 | 0.77 | 0.17 | 0.32 | 0.47 |
4-4-0 | 0.66 | 0.71 | 0.83 | 0.32 | 0.46 | 0.53 |
4-3-1 | 0.64 | 0.75 | 0.89 | 0.3 | 0.46 | 0.6 |
4-2-2 | 0.58 | 0.67 | 0.78 | 0.24 | 0.31 | 0.43 |
3-3-2 | 0.71 | 0.78 | 0.92 | 0.31 | 0.52 | 0.64 |
0, 1, 2 - mean number of cards, which are carried from the scopic suit.
Consider another case where scopic suit shows the blank card.
scopic suit | 8 | 9 | 10 | ||||||
alignment | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
7-2-0 | 0.02 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.54 | 0.57 | 0.62 | 0.81 | 0.83 | 0.86 |
6-3-0 | 0.06 | 0.15 | 0.31 | 0.57 | 0.61 | 0.7 | 0.82 | 0.84 | 0.89 |
6-2-1 | 0.03 | 0.08 | 0.14 | ? | ? | 0.62 | ? | ? | 0.85 |
5-4-0 | 0.11 | 0.21 | 0.36 | 0.59 | 0.63 | 0.72 | 0.83 | 0.85 | 0.89 |
5-3-1 | 0.08 | 0.2 | 0.34 | ? | ? | 0.73 | ? | ? | 0.91 |
5-2-2 | 0.04 | 0.1 | 0.18 | 0.55 | 0.58 | 0.64 | ? | ? | 0.87 |
4-4-1 | 0.12 | 0.22 | 0.34 | 0.59 | 0.64 | 0.71 | ? | ? | 0.88 |
4-3-2 | 0.07 | 0.17 | 0.32 | ? | 0.63 | 0.71 | ? | ? | 0.9 |
3-3-3 | ? | ? | 0.54 | ? | ? | 0.82 | ? | ? | 0.95 |
? - It means that such demolition would cause surprise.
The following are the values of the probability P (1) in the case of the recommended speed.
alignment | course | P (1) |
79VDKT | 9 | 0.58 |
710B (D) CT | 10 | 0.74 |
79DKT | 9 | 0.2 |
78 (9) CGT | 8 (9) | 0.2 |
78 (9) CT | 8 (9) | 0.58 |
710K | TO | 1 |
710B | 10 | 0.85 |
78 (9) D | D | 0.82 |
78 (9) | 8 (9) | 0.52 |
78 (9) DK | 8 (9) | 0.58 |
78 (9) BT | 8 (9) | 0.33 |
78 (9) VK | 8 (9) | 0.33 |
7910K | 9 | 0.1 |
710VK (T) | 10 | 0.86 |
710D | 10 | 0.97 |
79K | TO | 0.94 |
7910 | 9 | 0.03 |
7B | AT | 0.8 |
Below is the 710 for the alignment of the values of P (1) with a different number of cards, which are carried by the suit.
alignment | course | 0 | 1 | 2 |
710 | 10 | 0.54 | 0.56 | 0.61 |
The values of the probabilities P (1) in the case of stroke with forms also show in the table, below.
alignment | 0 | 1 | 2 |
8 | 0,001 | 0.01 | 0.03 |
9 | 0.53 | 0.54 | 0.56 |
10 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.82 |
AT | 0.92 | 0.92 | 0.95 |
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