#EuroMajdan # єvromaydan Chronicle 12/12/2013
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UPD: 04/12/2013 How Maidan came around for the Ukrainian economy
Ukrainian stocks crashed due to a rally on all exchanges. Due to political instability, quotations of our Eurobonds, as well as shares of domestic companies, dipped.
The first today to fall Ukrainian securities listed on the London and Warsaw stock exchanges. “The destabilization of the political situation, which resulted in a clash between protesters and security forces in Ukraine, increased our investment risks,” Yana Lavrik, analyst at Altana Capital, told Vesti.
The greatest losses were suffered by Ukrainian companies, whose shares are listed on the London Stock Exchange. The anti-record was set for the securities of the producer of packaged butter and cream cheese Ukrproduct Group, which fell immediately by 5.15%. At the same time, 2.38% sank shares of the British mining company with assets in Ukraine Ferrexpo - by 2.38%. Although less, the securities of the Avangard agricultural holding (cheaper by 0.08%), Mironovsky bakery product (0.12%) and the oil and gas company JKX Oil & Gas (0.69%) also suffered from the demonstrations. ) Meanwhile, the National Bank denied rumors about limiting settlements
Foreign investors also got rid of the shares of our companies listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange: Astarta and Kernela securities fell 2.58% and 1.56%, respectively.
Oddly enough, Gazprom’s securities also suffered from events in Ukraine: its securities fell from 147.9 rubles per share to 141.5. “Purely psychologically, investors are under pressure from news coming to the market and sell quotes of a gas monopolist. Expecting that Ukraine in the context of recent events will buy even less gas, ”Finam agency said.
Debts rise in price
Foreign investors who bought Ukrainian Eurobonds also reacted to political events in our country. “Yields on Ukrainian Eurobonds plummeted. Political instability caused the next sale of Ukrainian debt: its profitability again stepped up to the level of 10% per annum, ”Taras Kotovich, an analyst with ICU debt securities market, told Vesti. At the same time, experts insisted on the political reasons for what was happening. “The events in Kiev dramatically changed the situation, significantly increasing political uncertainty,” said Svetlana Rusakova, an expert at Dragon Capital's international debt securities sales department, in a conversation with us. Promises The National Bank promised to sell the dollar to depreciate
According to the analyst of Altana Capital investment company Yana Lavrik, today the maximum yield of 10-year-old Eurobonds of Ukraine reached 10.564%, which is 0.6% higher than Friday.
Markets may fall 10%
Ukrainian fundraisers reacted sharply negatively to political instability. The index of the Ukrainian Exchange today fell by 1.48%, and the PFTS - by 0.27%.
“The correction is long overdue. Current events in Ukraine added an additional negative, ”Vladimir Volkov, head of the exchange operations department of ART Capital Investment Group, explained to Vesti.
Although experts explain the current collapse on the stock exchanges with political events, they do not stop talking about the underlying problems of our market. “Activity on it has remained extremely low over the past months. We have not observed an influx of liquidity for a long time, ”Volkov said. In this context, experts in the event of a worsening political situation predict a further collapse of stock markets: for a week, the indices of Ukrainian exchanges may lose up to 10%.
UPD: 12/04/2013 Fighters of "Freedom" push the country to civil war
To date, the worst is happening in Ukraine. The country froze just a few steps from the civil war and the split. After the mass protests, Kiev resembles a battlefield: the movement is paralyzed, administrative buildings are seized, windows are broken out, tiles are torn down, flowerbeds are turned out. And although shots have not yet been heard on the streets of the Ukrainian capital, the first blood has already been shed - dozens of victims have ended up in hospitals.
The events that took place in Kiev make ordinary Ukrainians seriously think about what consequences the events will entail. And first of all, how can a mass slaughter on the streets of Kiev change the life of each of us for the better? Alas, after the example of the Orange Revolution, during which we stood with the hope of fundamentally transforming Ukraine, we no longer have to wait for miracles.
Meanwhile, skirmishes continue in the center of Kiev, the main participants of which are provocateurs-hooligans and “Svobodovskie” militants, who are actually pushing Ukraine to the edge of the abyss. After all, it was the young people who had recently walked around with the banners of “Freedom” who, during the assault on the Presidential Administration, threw firecrackers, pieces of iron pipes, smoke bombs and excavated paving stones into the heads of law enforcement officers, beat them with metal sticks and chains. But employees of the Ministry of Internal Affairs fulfill their official duty, protecting the so-called “sensitive facilities”. And talking about the "atrocities" on the part of the "Golden Eagle", which, without the use of special means, withstood the attack of radically minded youngsters, would be unfair.
However, the lawlessness of “Freedom” does not end there, and aggression is in full swing. So, over the past days, the rhetoric of her fighters has noticeably changed. All the same attack aircraft that tested the strength of the Golden Eagles shouted the slogans “Death to the enemies!”, “Die, creature!”, Thus openly calling for the use of weapons, murder and a change of power. And this is not very similar to the democracy that we all strive for so long. Finally, it entails criminal liability.
For example, according to Part 1 of Article 109 of the Criminal Code of Ukraine “acts committed with the aim of forcibly changing or overthrowing the constitutional order or seizing state power, as well as conspiracy to commit such acts” are punishable by imprisonment for a term of 5 to 10 years. At that time, according to part 2 of article 109 of the Criminal Code, a public appeal for appropriate action entails a restriction of freedom for up to 3 years or imprisonment for the same period. In addition, article 341 of the Criminal Code of Ukraine states that “the seizure of buildings or structures that support the activities of state authorities, local authorities, associations of citizens, with the aim of illegally using them or hindering the normal operation of enterprises, institutions, organizations” is punishable by arrest for up to 6 months or a limitation of will for up to 3 years, or imprisonment for the same period.
However, let us return to the conversation about what exactly Ukraine is moving to right now. Today, the Ukrainian media wrote that in the near future a state of emergency and curfew would be imposed in Ukraine, which was provoked by provocateurs. Nevertheless, according to official comments, the Ukrainian authorities did not even raise or even discuss the issue of imposing a state of emergency in the country. It also reports that the police until the last will be restrained from the use of force despite aggression from attack aircraft. The restrained police are not at all profitable for the Tyagnibok brothers, they need to be brought to the limit, brutalized by policemen, then they can shout openly: "Death to the enemies!", "Die, creature!", "Die, bastard!". The attack aircraft are not just shouting these slogans now, they are trying with all their might to provoke law enforcement agencies into an armed conflict. This is their element, because the change in the rhetoric of the young people from VO Liberty occurred as expected and with the inherent ease of the nation.
It is clear that after this, the residents of most regions of Ukraine become scared. Not at all for the power that they chose, but for themselves, children, parents, relatives and friends.
“If this is the democracy of a new Europe, then I don’t want such fascism ...”, says Maxim Leonidovich, a history teacher from the Bila Tserkva.
“I voted for Yushchenko in three rounds, I voted for Tymoshenko in the 2010th year. Now I will vote for anyone, if only not for those who staged this bloody Euromaidan, ”Igor Vladimirovich, an ambulance doctor from Kharkov, is indignant.
“Klitschko betrayed all his fans. He gave some young lads to throw stones at others, sang with the Nazis Tyagnibok, and he hid himself. This is any champion, German, American, European, but not Ukrainian. This will not work for us, ”said Ilham Ravilievich, a former boxer from the Crimea, now a Kiev physical education teacher.
“They immediately called for a peaceful protest, and then they rushed to beat the police, throw stones and burning sticks ... These are not Banderas, these are Hitlers,” summarizes Valentina Borisovna, an art decorator from Dnepropetrovsk.
“What Tyagnibok says about our hatred of the Muscovites and what he did in Kiev, beating Ukrainians like us is hypocrisy and a lie. Hiding behind a people that has ceased to believe him will not work out for a long time, ”says twenty-seven-year-old unemployed Bogdan from Lviv.
In fact, even in the Lviv and Ivano-Frankivsk regions they rather unexpectedly and harshly condemned the attempt of the radicals to ignite a civil war in Kiev. According to opinion polls in the Ternopil, Lviv, Ivano-Frankivsk and Volyn regions, the outrage that Freedom organized in the capital is the path of a civil war, and not an expression of civil position. It’s simply a self-PR and an attempt to start a massacre, - once believed the electorate loyal to Tyagniboku.
The marginalism of stormtroopers also deserves special attention, if you look at the cynicism they spoil in the occupied office buildings, plunder rooms, urinate in the corridors and courtyards of residential buildings, it becomes scary for such revolutionaries. There is no need to talk about the facts of looting - they are known throughout Kiev. However, the state of the capital is a separate issue. Where is Popov generally located when the city is buried in mud, horror, and sometimes the blood of the innocent victims of the “pseudo-revolution”? Does he lead the city? Why he is not cursed, as before the opposition. Or did the mayor manage to agree on preferences for the future, in the event of a change of power? In which European or even Russian capital is it seen that the mayor sit out outside his hometown at such a difficult and rebellious hour?
We tried to get an answer to this question at the Kyiv City State Administration. Unfortunately, the press service declined to comment, citing the lack of a chapter. Popov's deputies turned off their phones one Saturday. However, the ex-old-timer of the Kiev city hall, Mr. Yastrubinsky commented on the situation. According to him, Alexander Popov left the capital due to poor health, but he is monitoring the situation and ... attention ... is often interested in close ones, whether the building of the KSCA will be ready for work soon.
Meanwhile, public utilities complain of a lack of coordination and control on all verticals of the metropolitan government.
“From day to day we will need to clean the roads, it was hail, it will snow, and there’s no one to turn to. I’m not talking about how, excuse me, the visiting yards littered up, ”commented the situation in the administration of the Shevchenkovsky district with confusion.
Unfortunately, such confusion and vacillation is observed in all city economic services of Kiev.
“The Dnieper region has never prepared for winter on its own. On Wednesday, we gather the leaders of housing offices, utilities and local deputies, we will do something on our own. Since Friday, they stopped coordinating with us from the Kyiv City State Administration, and you can’t get through at all. They have an emergency there, of course, but you can somehow think for us. After all, we live in one city ... We’ll break through of course, but it’s somehow uncomfortable, ”complains a representative of the Dniprovsky district administration.
UPD: 12/04/2013 "Let off steam." Klitschko shouted at the protester, confessing his love for Zakharchenko
Unlike the fiery speeches proclaimed by opposition leaders from the Euromaidan scene, their informal conversations in the crowd with protesters are much more popular on the Internet. For example, a new video with Vitali Klitschko, where he, swearing loudly, answers a question of a protest participant, in just 24 hours got over 20 thousand views on YouTube.
The video, dated December 2, captures how one of the protesters persistently tries to ask the UDAR leader why the opposition does not demand the resignation of Interior Minister Zakharchenko. At the same time, Klitschko is noticeably nervous and, not restraining emotions and turning to a cry, answers: “I love him, b..t, this Zakharchenko, b..t.”