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The devaluation card of national currencies as a percentage of the US dollar

The devaluation card of national currencies as a percentage of the US dollar

The devaluation card of national currencies as a percentage of the US dollar for the period from January 1, 2014 to August 24, 2015.

Devaluation (Latin de - reduction, Latin valeo - to have value, cost) - a decrease in the gold content of a monetary unit in a gold standard. In modern conditions, the term is used for situations of official depreciation of the national currency against hard currencies in systems with a fixed exchange rate established by monetary authorities.

Devaluation - a reduction in the real exchange rate dictated by economic policy (the term is used in the research work of the International Monetary Fund).

Devaluation is seen as an instrument of central banks to manage the national currency, the opposite of revaluation.

In the conditions of the floating exchange rate, there is no direct official assignment of the value of the national currency. Therefore, for the situation of depreciation of the currency, the term depreciation is used, and for the situation of currency appreciation, the term "appreciation". The central bank can only change indirectly by indirect methods (currency interventions). Under these conditions, the depreciation or appreciation will not be the result of the adoption of an official document, but the result of a change in the value of the currency under the influence of market mechanisms.

Devaluation and inflation

The term "inflation" is close in meaning to the term "devaluation", but the former is more often referred to as the purchasing power of the national currency in the local commodity market, and the latter is more often referred to as purchasing power against foreign currencies. In the sense, both are characterized by a change in purchasing power. Often, currency devaluation can be one of the causes of inflation within the country. However, foreign currencies are also subject to inflation, so inflation is possible without devaluation. If foreign currencies are subject to deflation, then devaluation without inflation is possible.

Types of devaluation

There are official (open) and hidden devaluations. With an open devaluation, the Central Bank of the country officially declares the devaluation of the national currency, the depreciated paper money is withdrawn from circulation or the exchange of such money for new, stable loan money (but at a rate corresponding to the depreciation of old money, that is, lower). With hidden devaluation, the state reduces the real value of the monetary unit in relation to foreign currencies, without withdrawing the depreciated money from circulation. Open devaluation causes a decline in commodity prices, the consequence of hidden devaluation is the rise in commodity prices.

Reasons for devaluation

The reasons for the devaluation of the national currency may be inflation or deficit of payment balances. Although the devaluation is caused by macroeconomic factors, the direct depreciation of the currency is caused by the decision of the regulatory authorities in the country. Such a decision could be an official reduction of the exchange rate fixed by the country's leadership, a refusal to support the exchange rate, a refusal to link the exchange rate to the currencies of other countries or currency baskets in order to reduce the deficit of the country's balance of payments, improve the competitiveness of manufactured goods on the world market, and stimulate domestic production.

The risks of devaluation

Under the risk of currency devaluation is understood the risk of a sharp stressful depreciation of the currency relative to other currencies. The possibility of assessing the risk of devaluation essentially depends on the form in which it takes place. The reduction of the fixed rate by the country's leadership can be predicted in advance; The spontaneous devaluation caused by the inability of the regulatory authorities to support the exchange rate is difficult to assess. On expectations of a sharp drop in the exchange rate, investors are beginning to invest in more tangible media. But, nevertheless, this is an extreme measure.