Mіzhnarodnі rozrahunki that valyutnі operatsії - Savluk M.І.

15.2.2.1. Ekonomіchnі іndikatori global makroekonomіchnogo values

Before i naysuttєvіshih nayvazhlivіshih ekonomіchnih іndikatorіv vіdnosyat, zvichayno globalnі pokazniki, SSMSC vіdobrazhayut Suchasnyj camp Economy Kraina in tsіlomu. Tse pokazniki zagalnoї kіlkostі materіalnih benefits scho viroblyayutsya in danіy kraїnі - GDP (Gross Domestic Product - Gross vnutrіshnіy product), GNP (Gross National Product - Gross natsіonalny product) pokazniki іnflyatsії - Implicit Deflator (bezumovny deflator - іndeks-pokaznik іnflyatsії) Price Index (іndeks tsіn), PPI (Produser Price Index - іndeks Promyslova, abo wholesale tsіn), CPI (Consumer Price Index - іndeks spozhivchih, abo rozdrіbnih, tsіn) pokazniki will bezrobіttya that rіvnya zaynyatostі in danіy kraїnі.

Dinamіka zmіni rate of GBP / USD is the іndeksu spozhivchih tsіn Velikobritanії for ostannє desyatirіchchya

Fig. 15.7. Dinamіka zmіni rate of GBP / USD is the іndeksu spozhivchih tsіn Velikobritanії for ostannє desyatirіchchya (s іnformatsіyu otrimano іnformatsіynoї Sistemi TENFORE)

NAME perelіchenih pokaznikіv harakternі for the US Economy is the bіlshostі Promyslova rozvinutih kraїn. In deyakih kraїnah mozhut іsnuvati vіdmіnnostі have titles, ale ekonomіchne that rinkove values ​​tsієї groupies іndikatorіv zalishaєtsya nezmіnnim. Such a role of global іndikatorіv obumovlena temple stage korelyatsії zmіni of іndikatora that vіdpovіdnoї situatsії on market analysis. Figures 15.7, 15.8 chіtko prostezhuєtsya repetition tendentsії in zmіnі exchange rate that zmіnі іndeksu spozhivchih tsіn Velikobritanії i zmіnі іndeksu virobnichih tsіn in Yaponії, SSMSC vіdbivayut zagalnu zmіnu rіvnya іnflyatsії in vіdpovіdnih kraїnah. Znachnі Oscillations in values ​​tsієї groupies іndikatorіv Yea one s nayvazhlivіshih signalіv for operatorіv foreign exchange market pid hour speculative operatsіy.

Dinamіka zmіni rate JPY / USD at porіvnyannі Zi zmіnoyu PPI Yaponії

Fig. 15.8. Dinamіka zmіni rate JPY / USD at porіvnyannі Zi zmіnoyu PPI Yaponії (s іnformatsіyu otrimano іnformatsіynoї Sistemi TENFORE)

UKRAINE TER pragne dotrimuvatis svіtovih standartіv. Already kіlka rokіv provіdnimi іnformatsіynimi agentsіyami, zokrema the REUTERS, s Pevnyi perіodichnіstyu zdіysnyuєtsya oprilyudnennya bunt makroekonomіchnih pokaznikіv ukraїnskoї Economy (tab. 15.3, 15.4). Іnformatsіya postachaєtsya Mіnіsterstvom Ukraine statistics.

table 15.3

GOLOVNІ MAKROEKONOMІCHNІ POKAZNIKI BECOME UKRAЇNSKOЇ Economy (2000 p.) (Іnformatsіya Nada Mіnіsterstvom Ukraine statistics іnformatsіyu otrimano s іnformatsіynoї Systems of the REUTERS)

Ekonomіchny іndikator

Mіsyats

Ostannіy

Poperednіy

Year ago

Torgovelny balance, mln. USA

Traven

-236.2

-495.0

-1019.5

Eksport, mln. USA

Traven

4,299.1

3,310.1

5,093.8

Іmport, mln. USA

Traven

4,535.3

3,805.1

6,113.9

Rіven bezrobіttya%

Kvіten

4.1

4.0

2.9

GDP p / p%

Cherven

-3.0

-3.5

+0.2

Rіven Promyslova virobnitstva, p / p%

Cherven

+4.7

+0.2

+1.1

Rіven virobnichih tsіn, m / m

Cherven

+0.8

+0.5

+0.2

Rіven spozhivchih tsіn, m / m

Cherven

+0.1

+2.4

+0.0

NBU reserves, bn. USA

Lipen

1.3

1.28

-

M2 billion USD

Traven

17,159

16,352

13,116

table 15.4

GOLOVNІ MAKROEKONOMІCHNІ POKAZNIKI BECOME UKRAЇNSKOЇ Economy (2000 p.) (Іnformatsіya Nada Mіnіsterstvom Ukraine statistics іnformatsіyu otrimano s іnformatsіynoї Systems of the REUTERS)

Ekonomіchny іndikator

1998

1997

1996

1995

Torgovelny balance (mln. US)

- 2,038.1

- 2,896.1

- 4,141.7

+ 187.0

Transit Nafti i gas (million tonnes)

3.895

4.125

-

-

Virobnitstvo grain (million tonnes)

26.50

35.5

24.5

36.5

Virobnitstvo tsukrovogo Buriak (million tonnes)

15.30

17.5

24.00

30.00

Іnformatsіya nadaєtsya yak on Pevnyi date publіkatsії (tab. 15.3), so i in dinamіtsі for ostannі kіlka rokіv (tab. 15.4). Іnformatsіyno-fіnansova іndustrіya Ukraїnі is staying in the slit in zarodkovomu stanі. Porіvnyano s ekonomіchno rozvinutimi kraїnami publіkuєtsya deprivation obmezhena Quantity іndikatorіv (tab. 15.3), Absent chіtko pratsyuyuchoї kalendarnoї Sistemi їh oprilyudnennya. Oskіlki tsya іndustrіya funktsіonuє Neznachny hour, not slit target neobhіdnoї bazi danih for glibokogo analіzu ekonomіchnih tendentsіy in dinamіtsі. Krіm of slіd vіdznachiti scho analіz tendentsіy on the foreign exchange market of Ukraine zavdyaki vikoristannyu zagalnopriynyatih in svіtі metodіv Je problematic through vіdsutnіst vіlnogo kursoutvorennya, nayavnostі velikoї kіlkostі zakonodavchih obmezhen, restriktsіynih zahodіv, zastosovuvanih Uryadov i Natsіonalnim bank in zv'yazku Zi slabkіstyu ukraїnskoї Economy.

In mіzhnarodnіy praktitsі viznacheno scho іnformatsіya to time ofіtsіynogo announced Je Reigning taєmnitseyu. So, napriklad have Spoluchenih States tіlki US president over his head for the sake ekonomіchnih radnikіv (Council of Economic Advisers - CEA) Got the right to become Economy announced Kraina i, vіdpovіdno, rіvnya ekonomіchnih іndikatorіv. The I tse zrozumіlo, oskіlki dollars. US in kotiruvannyah Je counter-currency to currency perevazhnoї bіlshostі svitu, zmіna in stanі US Economy i, vіdpovіdno have znachennі ekonomіchnih іndikatorіv vplivaє on svіtovy fіnansovy rinok in tsіlomu.