Modeluvannya ekonomiki - Vіtlіnskiy V.V.

2.2.3. Vidapkovist i niznachennost ekonomichnogo rozvitku

For the methodology of planning, the importance of the meaning of the concept of unearned economical rozvitku . In the cases of economic forecasting and planning, two types of unidentified: "istinu", zoumovlenu vlastovostami ekonomichnikh protsessiv, i informatsiynu, povyazanu ne nevnovotyu and inaccuracy of the information process protsi. Істинну незначеність не можна плутати з об'єктивним існуванням різних варіантів економічного розвитку і можливості свідомого вибору з-поміж них ефективних варіантів. To talk about the principle of non-moderation of the exact vibor of the optimal optimal variant.

In the development of economy, there are no reasons for invoking a double cause. In addition , the overhaul of planning and peer-review processes, and such an influx in the process can not be done exactly as before, through viplyv vypadkovyh chinnikiv, and the exchange of people's letters at the same time. Especially characteristic for the prediction of the scientific and technological progress, the needs of susinstva, ekonomichnoy povedinki. In a different way, the ignorant plan of government does not deprive everyone of everything, but it is not omnipotent, but the presence of a multiplicity of self-contained economic assets in particular by entities is not permissible precisely as a result of the results in the past. Incomprehension and inaccuracy of information about the process of the economic development of the society, the lack of recognition.

On the first stages of the process, the economy was moderated in the basic model of the deterministic type. In tsikh models, the parameters of the yachts were faithfully vvodomali. However, the model can not be sprimatically mechanized and ototozhnyuvati models, yakі zabavleni vseh vyboru viboru (mozmolisti viboru) і мають єдиний допустимий розв'язок. Clasical butt zhorstko determinovynyh models - optimizatsyna model of the people's government, zastosovana for vyznachennya naykraschogo varianta ekonomichnogo rozvitku sered multiply permissible variants.

Унаслідок накоченчення досвіду використання жорстко детермінованихних модели були стреніі realі mozlivostі uspіshnogo zastosuvannya більш досконалої Methodology modulyuvannya економічних процесів, які враховуть стохастику і невизначеність. There can be two vitcomremi main straight forward dosage. First of all , the methodology of the modeling of the models of the deterministic type is the following: carry out bagatrivantiks rozraunkіv і model experiments in the variacy of the design of models ії вихідних варіантів; Визначення стійкості та надійності одержуваних рішень, виокремлення зони невизначеностіі; Included in the model zmіnnih schodo reserve, zastosuvannya priyomіv, yakі pіvidstvuet pristosovuvannost ekonomichnih rіshen to dovmornih i neperedbuchuvaniyakh situatsіy. In a different way, formulating the model, yaki without any average, imitate the stochastics and the uniqueness of the economic processes and the curriculum of the secondary mathematics: the theory of knowledge and statistics, the theory of statistics and statistics, the theory of mass service, stochastic programming, the theory of vipadkov processes, the theory of unfathomable multitudes.